Falcons +4 over COMMANDERS
The Commanders might just be the luckiest team in the NFL.
The new signal caller is Mason Rudolph, who isn’t anything to write home about, but he doesn’t usually turn the ball over at a historic rate.
Cleveland is rated No. 32 across the entire league in DVOA and has now inserted Thompson-Robinson as quarterback.
This insane stream of good fortune has to end at some point.
The Giants are allowing 58.2 percent completions on deep passes, by far the worst number in the NFL.
There’s enough here for Miami to cruise.
But my model has the Packers listed as a one-point favorite, and DVOA supports it, with Green Bay ranked No. 3 in the NFL to the Vikings’ No. 6.
Jets +10 over BILLS
The Jets won’t stop teasing what could have been.
Las Vegas appears to be playing harder at this stage and can be trusted with your money on Sunday.
Let Bryce Young throw and you will watch him make mistakes. Bucky Irving smashes to run up the score in a critical division game.
The Jets will play this division game close enough to cover 10 but likely lose another heartbreaker.
Sunday
Titans +1.5 over JAGUARS
Going 2-13 against the spread with a 3-13 record is a fireable offense for Titans coach Brian Callahan. Tennessee waited far too long to bench quarterback Will Levis.
Carolina has the sixth-fewest yards per play on offense and allows the fifth most yards per play on defense.
Their defense also struggles against the run, allowing the fifth most rushing yards per carry this season.
Colts -7.5 over GIANTS
There is not much you can point to statistically to say that the Giants should be more than a touchdown dog to the .500 Colts at home, and still, I could not even form an argument for your hard-earned money being wagered on this team.
BUCCANEERS -8 over Panthers
Tampa Bay needed overtime to take the Panthers down in Week 13, but I’m not expecting that to occur again for a few reasons.
He’s thrown just one touchdown in his NFL career and couldn’t score on the Bengals’ terrible pass defense.
Atlanta is 10th best in yards per play on offense (5.7) and 13th best in yards per play allowed (5.4).
It’s the marquee game of the weekend; sit back and enjoy a true playoff game.
Last Week: 6-6-1 Season: 105-114-3
Their offense can’t sustain drives, and the defense doesn’t turn it over.
That number seems a bit low, considering the eighth and ninth points in a given spread are nearly worthless.
Packers +1.5 over VIKINGS
Sharps have been betting the Vikings up, down and sideways since this line opened, as Green Bay opened as two-point favorites and the line has now flipped to Packers +1.5.
